Archive for the 'Interest Rates' Category

ECB to lower Interest Rates

Tuesday, March 3rd, 2009

Turning to the ECB, it also has some remaining room for manoeuvre on the interest rate front. We expect a 0.50% cut from the ECB which would take rates in the eurozone down to a new all-time low for the ECB of 1.50%.

However, the ECB, too, is now close to the end of the line as far as using the standard interest rate tool, with a number of prominent officials last week suggesting that 1% would be the “lowest limit” for the ECB.

To convince the ECB that more stimulus is necessary, the incoming news will need to suggest that the economy is even weaker than the poor outlook captured by the latest forecasts.

But, interestingly, some forward-looking economic indicators have begun to creep higher, including the expectations index of the Ifo index of German business confidence. This suggests the ECB might be quite cautious about providing more policy stimulus.

But in the event that the ECB does decide at some point that further monetary policy stimulus is needed over and above that which can be provided by using the remaining room for manoeuvre on interest rates, the question remains - what is the ECB’s preferred method of providing that stimulus?

Further Cuts in Interest rates expected !

Tuesday, December 9th, 2008

MADRID, Dec 8 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank doesn’t exclude reducing the price of money rates again in the next few months, Executive Board member Jose Manuel Gonzalez-Paramo was quoted as saying. Gonzalez-Paramo said at a conference in Malaga which was reported by the Spanish newspaper La Opinion de Malaga, over the weekend, that the inflation outlook was improving.

“We don’t rule out reducing the price of money again in the next few months,” he was quoted as saying.
The ECB cut rates by a record 75 basis points to 2.5 percent last Thursday and economists expect another reduction in January. (Reporting by Sarah Morris and Krista Hughes; editing by David Stamp)