Archive for the 'Interest Rates' Category

AIB has made it harder for first-time buyers to get a mortgage

Tuesday, April 6th, 2010

06 Apr 2010

AIB has made it harder for first-time buyers to get a mortgage by withdrawing a number of discounted home loans aimed at new buyers, mortgage brokers claimed yesterday.

But the bank hit back, saying it is committed to the first-time buyer market. In the past few days, Allied Irish Banks has withdrawn a special low rate of 2.4pc that was aimed at first-timers. This was a one-year fixed-rate deal.

Under it, new buyers were able to borrow up to 92pc of the value of the property.

However, the best new buyer rate has shot up to 3.09pc, according to director of the Irish Mortgage Corporation, Frank Conway.

He said the new higher rate meant that the hardest hit of all the AIB customers by the new charges introduced last week were first-time buyers, as their rate had gone up by 0.69 percentage points, while existing borrowers were hit by, at most, a rise of 0.5 percentage points.

“The latest move by AIB is a disappointment as it means that the cost of borrowing for first-time buyers has been increased the most when compared to other sectors of the market.

“For example, the repayment on a €200,000 mortgage over a 30-year term increases from €779 (based on the 2.4pc rate) to €852 (based on the new 3.09pc rate) — a rise of €73 a month for new customers.”

Mr Conway, whose company has just started a recruitment drive for 10 new financial advisers, accused the bank of shifting away from first-time buyers.

But this was rejected by an AIB spokesman, who said: “AIB remains committed to supporting the mortgage market, in particular first-time buyers.

“Any suggestion to the contrary is not borne out by the numbers.”

The bank said its share of the first-time buyer market had increased dramatically.

Funding

In 2009, AIB accounted for one in every three of first-time mortgages, but it is now writing 40pc of all new property transaction business in the country.

“Unfortunately, we have had to increase rates due to the high cost of funding we are experiencing,” the bank said.

However, Michael Dowling, of the Irish Mortgage Advisers Federation, pointed out that AIB changed the way it calculated what a first-time buyer could borrow, meaning most would qualify for a smaller mortgages.

Mr Dowling said someone on a salary of €29,000 would previously have qualified for a mortgage of €165,000, but would only be sanctioned for €130,000 from now on. This is almost 20pc less.

All mortgage rates to rise at same time

Tuesday, January 19th, 2010

18 Jan 2010

 

 

CONSUMERS will no longer be able to “cherry pick” lower mortgages rates, a top financial expert said today.
Oliver Gilvarry of Dolmen stockbrokers said lending institutions are to “move at pretty much the same time” when applying expected mortgage rate hikes.
“So the ability to cherry pick to a lower mortgage rate won’t be there at all,” he added.
Mr Gilvarry pointed out that many borrowers never even received the full benefit of the interest rate reductions from the European Central Bank (ECB).
“We can see with the foreign-owned banks here that have been operating mortgages — a number of them never passed on a lot of the rate cuts that were given through from the ECB last year, so you don’t have that option either,” he said.
It emerged today that almost 70,000 Permanent TSB mortgage customers face a rate hike of as much as 0.5pc over the coming weeks — adding €15 a month to average monthly repayments.
The bank already added 0.5pc to its standard variable rate last July, bringing it to 3.19pc.
Other banks, including AIB and Bank of Ireland, were thought to have been preparing to hike their rates at the time but held back following criticism of Permanent TSB.
Kevin Murphy, head of the bank’s parent group, Irish Life & Permanent, indicated last November that the lender would be looking at its interest rates again in January.
It is believed the hike is now on the verge of being implemented.
The bank’s remaining 120,000 home borrowers, who have either fixed-rate or tracker mortgages, which move in line with ECB rates, will not be affected by the move.
Earlier this month, Karl Deeter of Irish Mortgage Brokers warned lenders will push up standard variable rates by as much as 1pc this year, and another 0.5pc next year.

 

250,000 mortgage holders face hike

Tuesday, January 19th, 2010

19 Jan 2010

 

 

AS many as 250,000 homeowners on standard variable loans may soon be forced to pay out at least an extra €76.50 per month on mortgage repayments.
Sources believe banks will move quickly to hike interest rates on standard variable mortgages as soon as NAMA is up and running.

Some of the country’s biggest lenders said yesterday they had no plans to increase rates but AIB, Bank of Ireland and EBS all said that rates are under constant review. Permanent TSB (PTSB) is expected to move first on a rate hike, which is expected early next month.

Goodbody stockbrokers expects rates to increase by 0.5% in the medium term, which would mean an extra payment of €918 a year for homeowners on standard variable rate mortgages.

PTSB increased rates by 0.5% last summer. Of the group’s€27 billion Irish mortgage portfolio, almost 25% is in the standard variable rate kind so implying a 0.5% hike equates to €34 million a year.

Director of the Irish Mortgage Corporation Frank Conway said at the time it was widely expected PTSB would increase further and that other banks would also follow suit.

“However, the fact that NAMA needed to pass into legislation, the mood for consumers being hit with rising mortgage costs was probably extremely low,” he said.

He said there is little doubt banks will increase the standard variable rates.

“Banks abandoned the tracker mortgage concept to regain control over costs and part of that control includes adjusting costs to maintain costs,” he said.

Goodbody analyst Eamonn Hughes said: “We have flagged on many occasions that margins in the Irish banking system are going to have to go up as banks need to generate earnings to rebuild balance sheets, particularly as the economy and customers de-leverage.”

It’s estimated that up to 250,000 homeowners have standard variable rates. Ciaran Callaghan of NCB Stockbrokers said with the debt markets remaining strong at present, he expects “imminent funding issues” from the other domestic Irish banks, with Bank of Ireland suggested as the next candidate.

“Neither AIB nor BoI have jacked up the cost of their variable rates as of yet, but this is likely to change as the cost of the liability side erodes margins as funding is rolled over,” he said.

A spokeswoman for EBS said: “We review our rates on an ongoing basis, no plans to make any changes at this time.” AIB and Bank of Ireland also said they have no plans to increase rates.

Mr Callaghan said: “Any indication of government interference or pressure that restricts the banks’ ability to set rates commercially with regard to the cost of funding would be taken very negatively by the market, and could undermine their investment cases as they attempt to raise capital privately from investors.”

 

Rates to stay low for extended time

Thursday, December 17th, 2009

17 Dec 2009

 

The Federal Reserve repeated its pledge to keep interest rates “exceptionally low” for “an extended period” and said the economy is strengthening. “Household spending appears to be expanding at a moderate rate, though it remains constrained by a weak labour market, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit,” it said.

ECB chief signals further rate cut is on the cards next month

Monday, April 20th, 2009

20 Apr 2009 European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said yesterday the bank may again reduce its benchmark interest rate by a quarter point to 1pc.

“One further rate cut is not excluded, as already indicated,” Trichet said.

The “additional possible cut would be a very measured one”, he said, adding that he considered 25 basis points to be measured. He also said a “zero interest rate is not at all appropriate in the euro area”.

The Frankfurt-based ECB this month lowered its benchmark by a quarter point to 1.25pc and Trichet signaled a similar step was likely in May.

Divided

Policymakers are divided over how low to take borrowing costs and also on what new measures they should implement to stem the euro region’s worst recession since World War II. While Germany’s Axel Weber says 1pc should be the lower limit, others want to keep open the option of deeper cuts.

Trichet said the deposit rate of 0.25pc “will not change in the period to come”. He also reiterated his appreciation for US government officials’ comments that a strong dollar was in the interest of the US.

Last week, the euro declined against most of the other major currencies on speculation that policy disagreement among the region’s central bankers will undermine efforts to revive economic growth.

At the same time, the dollar rebounded to the levels it traded against the euro a month ago, recovering from losses after the Federal Reserve announced its plan to buy Treasuries to lower interest rates.

“Look at the euro as a product of cyclical weakness,” said Benedikt Germanier, a currency strategist at UBS AG, the second-largest currency trader. “Buy the dollar, buy sterling — the UK is also ahead of the euro zone — sell the euro.”

The euro decreased 1.1pc to $1.3044 last week, down from $1.3189 on April 10. It reached $1.3018 on Friday, the lowest level since March 18. The euro slid 2.2pc against the yen and the Japanese currency also rose against the dollar.

The yen has gained 3.8pc against the dollar in the past week, mainly on speculation China’s weaker growth will reduce demand for higher- yielding assets funded by low-cost loans in Japan. China’s economy grew 6.1pc in the first quarter from a year earlier, the slowest pace in almost 10 years.

The 16-nation European currency fell against all other major currencies, with its weakness put down to a combination of hard data and speculation. The hard data came in the form of a report on April 16 which showed factory output in the euro area plunged a record 18.4pc in February from a year earlier. The decline was the biggest since 1986.

The speculation centres on policy disagreement among the region’s central bankers which it is feared will undermine efforts to revive economic growth.

Confidence

Mr Trichet said in Tokyo that policymakers must do everything possible to boost confidence and that uncertainty would postpone a recovery in the region’s economy.

“Any ambiguity in our medium-term policy direction would delay the return of sustainable prosperity, because that would undermine confidence,” he said.

The central bank can’t rule out lowering rates below the 1.25pc target, ECB board member Jose Manuel Gonzalez- Paramo said on April 16. Policy makers’ scope for further reductions was “very moderate”, he added.

But ECB council member Axel Weber said a day earlier that the bank shouldn’t cut rates below 1pc, putting him at odds with policymakers who say borrowing costs can fall below that threshold.

The ECB is expected to lower its benchmark rate by a quarter-percentage point on May 7, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists.

 

 

How Low will rates go !

Tuesday, April 14th, 2009

After cutting interest rates less than expected at the last meeting, the European Central Bank’s leading members appear to be giving a clear signal over what the bank should do next.

In the latest interview, the governor of the Austrian central bank Ewald Nowotny said that the key interest rate should not go below the 1% level. This statement backs what other key ECB members have said over the past few weeks. Among them, the Vice-President of the European Central Bank said that the key interest rate could move somewhat lower, but in a “measured way”. Additionally, Axel Weber, which leads the Bundesbank, said that 1% is his personal bottom line.

Putting the pieces together, it appears that the ECB does not want to cut below 1%, even though the bank adopted a number of quantitative policy measures. “Despite having a much higher interest rate than the Fed, the money market rates in Europe are lower then in the U.S., and this gives the ECB more space to maneuver.” TheLFB-Forex.com Trade Team added.

“If the ECB decides not go any lower than 1% and MR. Trichet or any other of the voting members makes this official, the euro may find very strong support.” TheLFB-Forex.com Trade Team added. “The single currency might strengthen not only against the dollar, but against a whole range of currencies, especially against the pound” they said. “However, this would also have a side-effect, since the euro will gain ground against the Eastern European currencies, which are ready to sink in a pool of foreign denominated debt.”

TheLFB-Forex.com Trade Team notes “Since every other major central bank reached the lower limit of the monetary policy, the ECB policy measures are more important than ever for the euro’s valuation.” Keep an eye on what the ECB members are saying, you never know when the euro might take off”.

BoI predicts further ECB rate cut this week

Tuesday, April 7th, 2009

Monday, 30 March 2009

 Bank of Ireland says it expects the European Central Bank to reduce interest rates again this Thursday.

 

The bank was expected to hold off of any further decreases until the summer.

However, Bank of Ireland says it expects rates to go down again this week because of declining manufacturing output in the euro-zone.

It says the ECB will probably cut its main lending rate to 1%.

Euribor Rates Fall again

Thursday, March 26th, 2009
1 Week 1.019
1 Month 1.155
3 Months 1.538
6 Months 1.700
9 Months 1.772
I Year 1.849
Updated Mar 26, 2009 10:30 am
Prime Rate 1.82% - Bank of Ireland:
Euribor rates has fallen again today. The 3-month rate of 1.538% -  is 0.038%  above the ECB’s benchmark rate of 1.50%, in effect from March 05, 2009.

Even Lower Interest Rates

Thursday, March 26th, 2009

Interest rates set to hit 1pc under new ECB cuts

23 Mar 2009

 

 

INTEREST rates look set for another fall next month - perhaps to 1pc - after the chief of the German central bank said the ECB was prepared to cut again.

Axel Weber also dismissed talk that any euro area government was in danger of being unable to service its national debt. Speculation on the possibility of default has pushed up the costs of borrowing by governments in Ireland, Greece, Portugal and Spain.

“All this talk of euro area sovereigns being in a long-term problem with fiscal budgets is just a lot of nonsense,” Mr Weber said yesterday.

There has been confusion over whether any plan exists to help a euro member state which found itself unable to borrow what it requires on money markets.

Claims by a German politician last week that such a plan had been agreed were dismissed and then withdrawn.

While the costs of borrowing are rising for some governments, it looks like they are still falling for individuals. “Rates are at 1.5pc in the euro area and heading down,” Mr Weber said. “We have room to manoeuvre. We are using the room that we have to manoeuvre.”

Trichet says no decision made that 1.5% Is lowest ECB rate

Thursday, March 19th, 2009

18 Mar 2009

 

 

Irish Independent

“We have not made an ex ante decision that 1.5 percent is the lowest,” Trichet said in an interview on France’s Europe 1 radio.

The economy of the 16 nations in the eurozone is now in its deepest recession since World War II, forcing the ECB to cut borrowing costs to their lowest ever and consider taking more unconventional measures.

“We are studying at the moment whether to take complementary measures that won’t necessarily be the same as” other central banks, Trichet said. He said the ECB has already spent 600 billion euros on unconventional steps.

Economists at Deutsche Bank AG and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have criticized Trichet for not clarifying what the ECB may do at a time when the Bank of England and Federal Reserve are already buying assets such as commercial paper and government bonds to ease credit conditions.

Trichet said it was now cheaper to borrow for six and 12 months in European money markets than in the U.S. A moderate recovery in the economy is likely next year after a “very, very difficult” 2009, he said.

“I am not an oracle,” Trichet said. “What is important today is that there is a recovery of confidence.” (Bloomberg)